Trends Research Guide

Step-by-Step Guide: Analyze Market Interest Trends Using Google Trends

Do this for each niche idea to confirm demand, seasonality, and growth


Step 1: Set Up a “Trends Tracker” (1 per niche)

Create a doc/spreadsheet page for each niche with:

  • Niche Idea:

  • Target Customer:

  • Core Keyword:

  • Related Keywords (5–10):

  • Location: (Your target country/region)

  • Time Range Tested: (12 months / 5 years)

  • Trend Direction: (Up / Flat / Down)

  • Seasonality: (High / Medium / Low)

  • Peak Months:

  • Breakout Related Queries:

  • Best Regions:

  • Notes (Opportunities / Risks):

  • Verdict: (Green / Yellow / Red)


Step 2: Convert Each Niche Into Keywords Google Trends Understands

Google Trends works best with specific search terms (not broad niche titles).

Create 3 keyword levels per niche:

  1. Core keyword (main product term)

  2. Problem keyword (pain point)

  3. Audience keyword (who it’s for)

Example (Niche: Desk comfort for remote workers):

  • Core: “ergonomic footrest”

  • Problem: “back pain from sitting”

  • Audience: “home office setup”

Action (per niche):
Write 10 keywords, including:

  • 3 product terms

  • 3 problem terms

  • 2 audience terms

  • 2 feature terms


Step 3: Open Google Trends and Set Your Baselines

In Google Trends:

  1. Set Location (ex: United States)

  2. Set Time range to:

    • Past 12 months (recent reality)

    • then Past 5 years (long-term direction)

  3. Set Category if relevant (optional)

  4. Set Search type:

    • Start with Web Search

    • Then check YouTube Search if your niche is visual/product-driven

Action:
Write down your default settings so you use the same setup for every niche.


Step 4: Test Your Core Keyword First (Reality Check)

Enter your core keyword.

Look at:

  • Is the line mostly up, flat, or down?

  • Is interest steady, or does it spike randomly?

  • Are there long periods near zero? (bad sign)

Interpretation:

  • Steady or rising = good base demand

  • Spiky with long dead zones = trend/fad risk

  • Declining for 5 years = avoid or pivot keyword/niche

Action:
Label the trend:

  • Up

  • Flat

  • Down

  • Spiky/Fad


Step 5: Compare 3–5 Keywords Side-by-Side (This Is the Power Move)

Click “+ Compare” and add:

  • a second product keyword

  • a feature keyword

  • a competitor-ish keyword (if known)

  • a broader category keyword

Example:
“collagen powder” vs “collagen gummies” vs “marine collagen” vs “collagen peptides”

What you’re looking for:

  • Which term is most searched

  • Which is growing fastest

  • Which is stable year-round

Action (per niche):
Pick your “winner keyword” (best balance of volume + growth + stability).


Step 6: Check Seasonality (So You Don’t Misjudge the Niche)

Switch between:

  • 12 months view: to see seasonal spikes

  • 5 years view: to see if spikes repeat yearly

Common seasonal patterns:

  • Fitness: Jan–Feb spikes

  • Outdoor: spring/summer spikes

  • Gifts: Nov–Dec spikes

  • School: Aug–Sep spikes

Action:
Record:

  • peak months

  • low months

  • whether the pattern repeats annually


Step 7: Use “Interest by Subregion” to Find Hidden Winners

Scroll to Interest by subregion.

This helps you:

  • target ads by state/region

  • tailor messaging

  • confirm if demand is widespread or isolated

Action:
Write down:

  • Top 5 regions

  • Any surprising strong areas

Interpretation:

  • Widespread interest = broader market

  • Concentrated interest = niche targeting opportunity


Step 8: Mine “Related Topics” and “Related Queries” (Idea Generator)

Go to:

  • Related topics

  • Related queries

Then switch from:

  • “Top” → “Rising”

This is where you find:

  • breakout product ideas

  • emerging keyword variations

  • new sub-niches

Action (per niche):

  • Copy 5 rising queries

  • Star anything marked “Breakout”

  • Add them to your keyword list for later (SEO + ads)


Step 9: Confirm the Niche Isn’t a Short-Lived Fad

To check for fads:

  1. Set time range to Past 5 years

  2. Look for:

    • sudden rise + sudden drop

    • one huge spike and then nothing

    • inconsistent interest without pattern

Green flags:

  • slow upward slope

  • consistent peaks each year

  • stable baseline demand

Red flags:

  • “rocket then crash”

  • one-time viral spike

  • heavy volatility

Action:
Mark the niche:

  • Evergreen

  • Seasonal

  • Trend/Fad risk


Step 10: Run the “Category vs Product” Test

Compare:

  • broader category term (ex: “dog anxiety”)
    vs

  • product term (ex: “calming dog bed”)

Why this matters:
Sometimes the category is rising, but a specific product is flat.
That tells you to build a store around the problem, not one product.

Action:
Write one sentence:

“The market is growing around ___, so our store should focus on ___.”


Step 11: Create a Final Trends Score for Each Niche

Score each niche 1–5:

  • Trend direction (up vs down)

  • Stability (consistent vs spiky)

  • Seasonality risk (manageable vs extreme)

  • Keyword opportunities (many rising queries vs few)

  • Geo spread (broad vs narrow)

Verdict:

  • Green: good to proceed

  • ⚠️ Yellow: proceed with seasonal plan or niche angle shift

  • Red: pivot keywords or drop niche


Step 12: Turn Trends Insights Into Your Store Plan

For each niche, use what you learned to decide:

  • your primary SEO keyword

  • your ad targeting regions

  • the best months to scale

  • what products to prioritize

  • what content to create first (blogs, guides, collections)

Example outputs:

  • “Peak interest is May–July, so we launch in March and scale ads in April.”

  • “Breakout query shows ‘mini’ version rising—add compact versions first.”


Quick Checklist (Per Niche)

For each niche, you should finish with:

  • ✅ 10 tested keywords

  • ✅ 12-month + 5-year trend screenshot/notes

  • ✅ 1 winner keyword selected

  • ✅ seasonality identified

  • ✅ 5 rising queries saved

  • ✅ final verdict + trends score